Dumb luck

I’ve heard a lot of complaints this season from people about how they’re unlucky in fantasy football. You know how it goes — you score 130, only to lose to a guy who puts up 133. To address this question, I crunched the numbers to create a luck-free scoring matrix.

Here’s how it works: It’s as though you played all 13 other teams each week. If you scored the highest of anyone that week, you go 13-0. If you have the lowest score of the week, you go 0-13.

The results:

Rk		Name	+/-	W	L
1		Bombers	0	125	44
2		Bradydaddys	0	110	59
3		inglourious basterds	+1	105	64
4		Screw the Pilgrims	+1	102	67
5		The DTs	+3	95	74
6		Snyder’s a bitch	+3	94	75
7		your mom	+3	87	82
8		Fourniercaters…Grr	+3	82	87
9		Rex is not our QB	-3	74	95
10		All Shake & Seeds	-7	80	89
11		The [Prima] Donnas	-4	63	106
12		I’m done	+2	61	108
13		FarBeyond Driven	-1	54	115
14		Toddler Terrors	-1	51	118

 

The rank is your ranking under the new system. The +/- is how much you gained or lost from the Yahoo! system to my luck-free system.

From this we see that Ben is the luckiest player. By far. His All Shake & Seeds ought to be 10th and out of the playoffs, instead of third. The ‘Donnas are pretty lucky too. A lot of teams tied for unluckiest — Snyder’s, your mom, and Fourniercaters…Grr all missed the playoffs because of their bad luck.

There’s a real bell curve feeling here — the teams at the top and bottom appear to belong there, while the teams in the middle seem to feel the effects of luck the most.

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